Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:33:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
9F 0x9f35…6ce1 crypto 2200 markets active 5d ago coverage 14d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 13d only
✗ bot/MM pace (163 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL −$301 (-13%) realized −$301 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate70%1258W / 533L
Drawdown68%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day163.0pace
Kalshi-fit84%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$357
7 days−$320
14 days−$21
30 days+$166
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 84% +$438
other 16% +$85
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (163 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+0.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 415 -65.5% -68.7% 18% 17% -71.0%
≤30d 1791 +10.8% +0.2% 70% 58% -1.1%
≤90d 1791 +10.8% +0.2% 70% 58% -1.1%
all 1791 +10.8% +0.2% 70% 58% -1.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover163.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.2% 58% -1.1%
10% ← realistic here -9.4% 45% -10.6%
15% -18.1% 35% -19.2%
20% -26.2% 28% -27.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +9% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt +9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +20% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.55 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.3 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$301
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses1258 / 533
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1791 / 2200
History coverage14d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day163.0
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit84%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1791 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -147%
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -134%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records