trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 62% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 42% | 0% | -10.9% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 42% | 0% | -10.9% |
| all | 28 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 36% | 0% | -12.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.0% | 0% | -12.8% |
| 10% | -20.4% | 0% | -21.2% |
| 15% | -28.1% | 0% | -28.8% |
| 20% | -35.2% | 0% | -35.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $46 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 15 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $46 | −$4 | -8% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 14 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 12 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 10 | $37 | $0 | +1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 10 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 09 | $41 | −$3 | -7% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 09 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 08 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 26 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31? | May 11 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025? | May 11 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope? | May 07 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | May 06 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Pres | May 06 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Amazon buy TikTok? | May 06 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? | May 05 | $5 | −$1 | -11% |
| Will Mark Carney lose his seat? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April? | Apr 20 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Ethereum above $1,900 on April 11? | Apr 12 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Wofford vs. Tennessee | Mar 23 | $6 | $0 | +6% |
| West Virginia vs. Utah | Mar 04 | $15 | −$9 | -65% |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-06? | Mar 04 | $16 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Trump say 'Greenland' during the 2025 State of the Union? | Mar 04 | $5 | $0 | +0% |