Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:34:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9F 0x9f3b…134c crypto 781 markets active 7d ago coverage 63d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,372 (-5%) realized −$1,372 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -23% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -41% what you keep after slip
Net edge-41%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate37%290W / 491L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$33per market
Trades / day39.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$138
14 days−$624
30 days−$1,097
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2,829
world 0% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-30.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -57.9% -61.9% 17% 11% -56.4%
≤30d 222 -27.1% -34.0% 32% 27% -21.4%
≤90d 781 -22.9% -30.3% 37% 30% -19.9%
all 781 -22.9% -30.3% 37% 30% -19.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover39.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.3% 30% -19.9%
10% ← realistic here -36.9% 25% -27.6%
15% -43.0% 21% -34.6%
20% -48.6% 17% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
19% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -23% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -22% → late -24% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$14 vs −$14 · ×1.0 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

63d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,372
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses290 / 491
Open positions0
Markets (closed)781 / 781
History coverage63d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day39.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 781 Trades
no open positions (236 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $32 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $15 −$5 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $26 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $16 +$17 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $23 −$15 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $31 −$10 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$7 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 10 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 09 $14 −$11 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 09 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$6 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$7 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$9 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$9 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$17 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 09 $26 −$18 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 09 $22 +$11 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 09 $42 −$19 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 09 $32 −$31 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 09 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $20 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $42 +$29 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $51 −$18 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$16 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 09 $23 +$25 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 09 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 09 $21 +$19 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 09 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $21 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 09 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 09 $43 −$8 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 09 $83 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 09 $41 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 09 $14 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 09 $42 −$20 -48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $14 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $18 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $27 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2568 history records