Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:36:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f46…5988
crypto · 136 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$64 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$71 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$71
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses106 / 27
Open positions3
Markets (closed)133 / 136
History coverage7d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day23.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 133 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$71
14 days−$71
30 days−$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 42¢ 100¢ $5 $11 +$6 (+137%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 55¢ 22¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-59%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$3 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$6 +236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -61%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$5 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$5 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 10 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 09 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 09 $12 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 09 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 09 $12 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $12 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$67
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 133 -4.3% -13.5% 80% 34% -17.7%
≤30d 133 -4.3% -13.5% 80% 34% -17.7%
≤90d 133 -4.3% -13.5% 80% 34% -17.7%
all 133 -4.3% -13.5% 80% 34% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 34% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 20% -25.6%
15% -29.3% 9% -32.8%
20% -36.2% 5% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.38 · official $6.61 · 300 history records