Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:37:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f46…f36e
crypto · 41 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$78 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$76 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$97
Realized−$76
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses22 / 14
Open positions5
Markets (closed)36 / 41
History coverage3d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day91.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 5 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$76
14 days−$76
30 days−$76
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $57 $57 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 62¢ 58¢ $22 $21 −$1 (-5%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-9%)
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No 59¢ 28¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-52%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $118 −$93 -79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$15 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$26 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $207 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $47 +$18 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $84 +$7 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $38 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $101 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$13 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $38 +$9 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$2 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$16 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$8 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +74%
Will Trump praise Allah by June 30? Jun 10 $1 +$8 +778%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Petro mention Hitler again by June 30? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $1 +$3 +254%
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? Jun 09 $1 +$2 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 09 $16 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$5 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $34 −$28 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$77
other 7% −$11
world 0% +$2
politics 0% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $21 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $6 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $19 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +20.0% +8.6% 61% 44% -15.7%
≤30d 36 +20.0% +8.6% 61% 44% -15.7%
≤90d 36 +20.0% +8.6% 61% 44% -15.7%
all 36 +20.0% +8.6% 61% 44% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover91.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.6% 44% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -1.8% 39% -23.8%
15% -11.3% 28% -31.1%
20% -20.0% 22% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $97.37 · official $99.87 · 320 history records