Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T06:57:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9F 0x9f53…6046 crypto 83 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (200 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$5 (+0%) realized +$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -21% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -39% what you keep after slip
Net edge-39%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate48%40W / 43L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day200.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$204
sports 2% −$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (200 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-28.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 -21.3% -28.8% 48% 41% -21.9%
≤30d 83 -21.3% -28.8% 48% 41% -21.9%
≤90d 83 -21.3% -28.8% 48% 41% -21.9%
all 83 -21.3% -28.8% 48% 41% -21.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover200.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.8% 41% -21.9%
10% ← realistic here -35.6% 27% -29.4%
15% -41.9% 14% -36.2%
20% -47.6% 13% -42.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -21% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -14% → late -28% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$11 · ×0.54 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.51 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses40 / 43
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)83 / 83
History coverage2d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day200.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 83 Trades
no open positions (29 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 20 $43 +$6 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$9 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 20 $73 −$37 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 20 $117 −$27 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 20 $77 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 20 $133 +$15 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 20 $38 +$25 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 20 $108 −$42 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 20 $41 −$39 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 20 $43 −$42 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 20 $103 +$25 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 20 $56 −$55 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 20 $21 −$17 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 20 $41 +$14 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 20 $21 −$13 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 20 $36 −$11 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$9 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 20 $56 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $68 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 20 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 20 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 20 $31 +$10 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 20 $21 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 20 $31 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 20 $13 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 20 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$8 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 19 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 19 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 19 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 19 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 19 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 19 $27 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 19 $17 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 19 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 19 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 19 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 19 $26 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 19 $3 +$4 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 19 $5 +$2 +30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $26 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $19 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $76 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $67 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $78 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $64 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 353 history records