Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:06:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f55…2181
crypto · 83 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$5,798 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,430 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7,430
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses39 / 44
Whale WR (big bets)52%
Est. fees paid−$372
Open positions0
Markets (closed)83 / 83
History coverage28d
Avg bet$647
Trades / day8.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 83 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,508
7 days−$1,508
14 days−$1,508
30 days−$7,430
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 54¢ 0¢ $213 $0 −$213 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $214 $0 −$214 (-100%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $630 $0 −$630 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $80 −$77 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $626 −$214 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$49 +47%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $103 −$100 -98%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $643 −$630 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $149 −$149 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $222 −$222 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $217 −$213 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $407 −$407 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $660 +$368 +56%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $83 +$51 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $152 −$152 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $311 +$320 +103%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Camila Osorio Jun 14 $762 −$762 -100%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $306 +$264 +86%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston Jun 13 $920 +$420 +46%
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osaka May 30 $744 −$744 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana May 30 $1,587 −$587 -37%
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska May 30 $697 −$697 -100%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $599 −$50 -8%
Little Rock: Johannus Monday vs Aidan Mayo May 30 $205 −$205 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul May 29 $1,293 +$1,418 +110%
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong May 29 $1,002 −$1,002 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs Jong May 29 $568 −$568 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 29 $250 −$250 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar May 29 $382 −$312 -82%
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova May 29 $496 +$690 +139%
Vicenza: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Pol Martin Tiffon May 29 $295 +$210 +71%
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo May 28 $575 −$575 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1AM ET May 18 $669 −$669 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET May 18 $262 −$262 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET May 18 $327 −$327 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET May 18 $293 −$29 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET May 18 $175 −$175 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12AM ET May 18 $993 +$489 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET May 18 $324 −$324 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET May 18 $922 −$922 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET May 18 $693 −$693 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET May 18 $674 −$674 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET May 18 $518 −$518 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET May 18 $667 −$667 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET May 18 $502 −$502 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET May 18 $769 +$554 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET May 18 $332 +$117 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 18 $515 −$515 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET May 18 $999 −$999 -100%
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? May 18 $1,129 −$1,129 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET May 18 $827 −$827 -100%
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon May 18 $2,514 −$2,514 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 49% −$3,927
sports 40% −$2,724
other 11% −$779
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $80 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $85 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $142 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $398 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $91 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $167 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $232 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $151 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $103 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $103 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 23¢ $134 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 54¢ $217 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $509 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,029 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $74 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $148 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $149 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $83 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $52 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 61¢ $254 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $289 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $264 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $77 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $105 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $152 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $206 7h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $406 8h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $407 10h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson SELL Lucia Bronzetti 100¢ $570 10h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 52¢ $306 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -41.2% -46.8% 35% 35% -35.0%
≤30d 83 -10.7% -19.2% 47% 47% -22.1%
≤90d 83 -10.7% -19.2% 47% 47% -22.1%
all 83 -10.7% -19.2% 47% 47% -22.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.3 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.2% 47% -22.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 46% -29.6%
15% -34.0% 42% -36.4%
20% -40.5% 29% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.88 (match) · 269 history records