trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | -37.2% | -43.2% | 0% | 0% | -43.2% |
| ≤90d | 1 | -37.2% | -43.2% | 0% | 0% | -43.2% |
| all | 2 | +27.9% | +15.7% | 50% | 50% | -43.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +15.7% | 50% | -43.1% |
| 10% | +4.6% | 50% | -48.6% |
| 15% | -5.5% | 50% | -53.6% |
| 20% | -14.7% | 50% | -58.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $7,693 | $5,461 | −$2,232 (-29%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 01 | $2,827 | −$1,052 | -37% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | Feb 19 | $1 | +$1 | +93% |