Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:43:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f60…2618
crypto · 150 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$33 · open −$34
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$33
Unrealized−$34
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses39 / 109
Open positions2
Markets (closed)148 / 150
History coverage54d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day5.6
Drawdown90%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 2 History 148 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days−$3
14 days−$8
30 days+$66
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 14? Yes 8¢ 1¢ $10 $2 −$8 (-84%)
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 13? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +313%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$24 +226%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +31%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
between 39 and 41 million views Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10? Jun 10 $15 −$6 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 31 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 22? May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on May 23? May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 23? May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 23? May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 23? May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 20? May 21 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on May 20? May 20 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET May 20 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET May 19 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 19 $7 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET May 19 $1 +$3 +309%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 19 $2 −$2 -92%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET May 19 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 19 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 19 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET May 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET May 19 $15 −$5 -34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 46% −$61
crypto 39% −$79
other 16% +$139
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 0¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 13? BUY Yes 83¢ $26 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 14? BUY Yes 8¢ $10 17h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? SELL Yes 42¢ $34 17h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 12? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10? SELL Yes 22¢ $9 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10? BUY Yes 35¢ $15 4d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 5d
between 39 and 41 million views BUY Yes 2¢ $9 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $0 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +2.8% -7.0% 47% 33% -14.3%
≤30d 136 -9.8% -18.4% 27% 24% -1.8%
≤90d 148 -12.5% -20.9% 26% 23% -6.4%
all 148 -12.5% -20.9% 26% 23% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.9% 23% -6.4%
10% -28.4% 18% -15.4%
15% -35.4% 16% -23.5%
20% -41.7% 15% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.68 · official $1.68 (match) · 428 history records