Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:42:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f62…8709
crypto · 72 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$72 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$73 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$73
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses24 / 43
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)67 / 72
History coverage16d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day15.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 5 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$61
7 days−$55
14 days−$57
30 days−$73
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+12%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-14%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $100 $0 -0%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $81 +$23 +28%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Jun 13 $5 −$3 -60%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 13 $28 −$27 -96%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $50 −$11 -23%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $25 −$9 -38%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $5 −$3 -53%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Jun 13 $59 −$16 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$2 +39%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $130 +$9 +7%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $103 +$15 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 30 $5 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 30 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 30 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 30 $4 −$1 -19%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $3 +$2 +62%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $6 −$1 -20%
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7? May 30 $4 −$2 -46%
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31? May 30 $1 $0 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 30 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 30 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 30 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 30 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 30 $7 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET May 30 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 30 $3 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET May 30 $2 +$2 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? May 29 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 28 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 28 $6 −$4 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 28 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 28 $7 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 28 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 28 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 28 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 28 $7 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 28 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 28 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 28 $6 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 51% −$59
crypto 25% −$24
other 23% +$9
sports 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Any Other Score? SELL Yes 99¢ $100 39m
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 99¢ $100 40m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? SELL No 99¢ $103 1h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 77¢ $81 1h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? SELL Yes 8¢ $2 1h
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 58¢ $28 1h
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 42¢ $16 1h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? SELL Yes 8¢ $2 2h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 2h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? SELL No 45¢ $43 2h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 2h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 2h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 58¢ $10 4h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-31.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -44.4% -49.7% 24% 18% -17.8%
≤30d 67 -23.9% -31.2% 36% 27% -16.0%
≤90d 67 -23.9% -31.2% 36% 27% -16.0%
all 67 -23.9% -31.2% 36% 27% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.2% 27% -16.0%
10% -37.8% 21% -24.1%
15% -43.8% 12% -31.4%
20% -49.3% 9% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.67 · official $8.67 (match) · 263 history records