Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:43:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f6b…b245
sports · 427 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$824 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$759 · open −$65
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$88
Realized−$759
Unrealized−$65
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses170 / 252
Est. fees paid−$279
Open positions5
Markets (closed)422 / 427
History coverage42d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day16.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 5 History 422 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28
7 days−$56
14 days−$177
30 days−$2,639
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 11¢ 10¢ $50 $43 −$7 (-14%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 11¢ 10¢ $45 $43 −$2 (-5%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-70%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-94%)
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs F5 Esports 43¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Atlanta Braves 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-17? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Malaysia vs China China 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Phantom 71¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche Avalanche 25¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Texas Rangers 60¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Spurs 36¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Fery Arthur Fery 72¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 75¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire Connecticut Sun 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jurij Rodionov vs Dusan Lajovic Dusan Lajovic 71¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries Indiana Fever 52¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Will CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano end in a draw? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D Lazer Cats 35¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 17¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Colorado Rockies 50¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $51 −$3 -6%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $102 −$100 -98%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 12 $26 −$25 -98%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$15 +60%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $41 −$40 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $69 +$109 +158%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $202 +$131 +65%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $131 +$108 +83%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $38 −$37 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $15 +$53 +344%
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 11 $39 −$38 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $30 −$30 -98%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $30 −$30 -98%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $128 −$11 -9%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $36 −$35 -98%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $66 +$99 +149%
Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $28 +$38 +134%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $134 −$133 -99%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 10 $36 −$3 -9%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro L Jun 10 $21 +$144 +703%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - M Jun 10 $36 +$68 +191%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax Jun 10 $30 −$1 -4%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $31 +$58 +188%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $26 +$71 +276%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $78 −$76 -99%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $31 −$30 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Rainbow Six Siege: Shifters vs Team Secret (BO1) - Europe MENA League Jun 09 $31 −$30 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 09 $35 −$5 -14%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $101 −$100 -99%
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjen Jun 09 $98 −$96 -98%
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Se Jun 09 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 09 $203 −$3 -2%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $97 −$97 -99%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $201 −$200 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $52 +$39 +76%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $102 +$210 +206%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $101 −$81 -80%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $150 +$82 +54%
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 08 $30 −$29 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 08 $101 +$65 +65%
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Jun 08 $51 +$63 +124%
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 07 $126 +$27 +21%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $15 −$15 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $20 +$20 +97%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $3 −$3 -97%
Will El Salvador win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $27 −$26 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% +$259
other 17% −$858
crypto 1% −$53
finance 1% −$36
world 1% −$56
politics 0% −$69
economics 0% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $21 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 11¢ $26 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 11¢ $10 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $10 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 11¢ $15 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 43¢ $46 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 43¢ $48 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 44¢ $51 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 30¢ $102 3h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $51 4h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 30¢ $26 5h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 24¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $26 9h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 52¢ $41 9h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $179 25h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $30 27h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 60¢ $202 30h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $40 30h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Texas Rangers 99¢ $239 30h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 63¢ $40 31h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 7¢ $8 33h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 50¢ $90 34h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 28¢ $30 34h
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Lazer Cats 35¢ $39 43h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 46¢ $30 43h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 45¢ $30 43h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 22¢ $15 43h
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur SELL Panna Udvardy 67¢ $117 43h
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur BUY Panna Udvardy 72¢ $128 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 +7.4% -2.8% 36% 36% -11.1%
≤30d 356 -26.0% -33.0% 33% 32% -21.0%
≤90d 422 -6.0% -14.9% 40% 39% -12.4%
all 422 -6.0% -14.9% 40% 39% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.9% 39% -12.4%
10% -23.1% 38% -20.8%
15% -30.5% 33% -28.4%
20% -37.3% 29% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $87.70 · official $87.70 (match) · 868 history records