Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:30:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f6b…625b
crypto · 1781 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses1660 / 121
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1781 / 1781
History coverage62d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day28.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1781 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$6
14 days−$24
30 days−$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 68¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 27¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 59¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 92¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 68¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 95¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 93¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 20¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 30¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 88¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 84¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 51¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 25¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 91¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 37¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 88¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 73¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 51¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 95¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 91¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 93¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 75¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 54¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 82¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$11
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 11h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 26¢ $3 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 147 +0.1% -9.4% 94% 14% -10.2%
≤30d 677 -1.4% -10.7% 92% 14% -10.8%
≤90d 1781 -0.1% -9.6% 93% 17% -9.6%
all 1781 -0.1% -9.6% 93% 17% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 17% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 8% -18.3%
15% -26.1% 4% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 2% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records