Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T07:37:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9F 0x9f75…01dd crypto 323 markets active 2h ago coverage 7d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (89 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$134 (+4%) realized +$88 · open +$46
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate43%135W / 179L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day89.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$193now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$52
world 0% −$1
finance 0% −$1
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (89 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 314 -4.0% -13.2% 43% 39% -9.5%
≤30d 314 -4.0% -13.2% 43% 39% -9.5%
≤90d 314 -4.0% -13.2% 43% 39% -9.5%
all 314 -4.0% -13.2% 43% 39% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover89.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 39% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 36% -18.2%
15% -29.1% 33% -26.1%
20% -36.0% 29% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +33% → late -41% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$7 · ×1.33 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$193
Realized+$88
Unrealized+$46
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses135 / 179
Open positions9
Markets (closed)314 / 323
History coverage7d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day89.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 9 History 314 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $97 $94 −$3 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 43¢ 50¢ $25 $29 +$4 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 2¢ 50¢ $1 $25 +$24 (+2375%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 4¢ 50¢ $1 $13 +$12 (+1162%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 4¢ 50¢ $1 $12 +$11 (+1138%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 84¢ 50¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 44¢ 50¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 49¢ 50¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 26¢ 50¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+89%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 23 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 22 $5 +$8 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 22 $10 +$11 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 22 $10 +$7 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 22 $0 +$10 +2243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 22 $41 +$37 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 22 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 22 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 21 $20 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 21 $21 +$10 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $41 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $29 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $192.94 · official $192.94 (match) · 829 history records