trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 18 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.9% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -19.4% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -27.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -34.3% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1,486 | $1,486 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $35 | $35 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 29 | $1,497 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 29 | $1,446 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me | Apr 18 | $211 | $0 | -0% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 18 | $9 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 17 | $6 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 16 | $10 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Apr 16 | $210 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | Apr 16 | $207 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 16 | $5 | $0 | -7% |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 04 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 04 | $68 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in April 2026? | Apr 03 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on | Mar 30 | $190 | $0 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 30 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 30 | $65 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league? | Mar 26 | $178 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 26 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? | Mar 26 | $29 | $0 | -0% |