Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:37:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f92…2c2d
other · 62 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$8,649 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,589 · open +$1,170
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,402
Realized+$1,589
Unrealized+$1,170
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses30 / 31
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Open positions23
Markets (closed)61 / 62
History coverage4d
Avg bet$631
Trades / day776.7
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 23 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$858
7 days+$1,589
14 days+$1,589
30 days+$1,589
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30? No 64¢ 69¢ $2,408 $2,600 +$193 (+8%)
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June? No 42¢ 92¢ $309 $680 +$370 (+120%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? No 61¢ 64¢ $471 $492 +$21 (+4%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026? No 49¢ 40¢ $524 $438 −$87 (-17%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June? No 47¢ 93¢ $194 $384 +$190 (+98%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? No 69¢ 92¢ $283 $381 +$98 (+35%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? No 18¢ 74¢ $75 $306 +$231 (+306%)
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? No 90¢ 97¢ $239 $255 +$16 (+7%)
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in June? No 55¢ 94¢ $134 $227 +$94 (+70%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No 31¢ 26¢ $186 $159 −$27 (-15%)
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Yes 10¢ 25¢ $52 $136 +$84 (+161%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June? No 69¢ 95¢ $97 $134 +$37 (+38%)
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $121 $97 −$25 (-20%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026? No 37¢ 28¢ $88 $66 −$22 (-25%)
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Yes 22¢ 18¢ $28 $22 −$6 (-21%)
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $9 $13 +$4 (+41%)
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes 78¢ 76¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-3%)
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026? Yes 66¢ 68¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? No 79¢ 83¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No 7¢ 7¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? Yes 32¢ 34¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Yes 20¢ 18¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-11%)
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by June 30, 2026? Yes 9¢ 6¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-39%)
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final? Jun 14 $15 +$39 +259%
Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 13? Jun 14 $2 −$19 -870%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3? Jun 14 $124 −$70 -57%
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May? Jun 14 $1 −$71 -5707%
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May? Jun 14 $49 −$29 -58%
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $96 in May? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Jun 13 $121 +$8 +7%
Will Lionel Messi score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $2,225 −$180 -8%
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? Jun 13 $876 −$69 -8%
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026? Jun 13 $396 +$97 +24%
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Jun 13 $760 +$32 +4%
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Jun 13 $223 +$72 +32%
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Jun 13 $763 +$283 +37%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 13 $1,420 −$75 -5%
Will Lionel Messi score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $1,335 −$80 -6%
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domest Jun 13 $7,643 +$953 +12%
Will Lionel Messi score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $21 −$3 -14%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? Jun 12 $605 −$27 -4%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $121 +$7 +6%
Will Lionel Messi score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $46 −$2 -4%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $109 +$34 +31%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $30 −$4 -14%
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31? Jun 11 $133 +$22 +17%
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Sp Jun 11 $504 −$75 -15%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June? Jun 11 $642 +$49 +8%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in June? Jun 11 $283 +$25 +9%
Will Luke Nosek be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's Jun 11 $181 −$15 -8%
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I Jun 11 $1,128 +$271 +24%
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Spac Jun 11 $1,058 −$11 -1%
Will Steve Jurvetson be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Spac Jun 11 $114 +$12 +11%
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day Jun 11 $775 +$44 +6%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 11 $1,389 −$149 -11%
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? Jun 11 $225 −$28 -12%
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on Ju Jun 11 $11 $0 -2%
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027? Jun 10 $672 +$74 +11%
Tread FDV above $150M one day after launch Jun 10 $7 +$155 +2146%
Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? Jun 10 $391 −$34 -9%
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? Jun 10 $7 +$37 +544%
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' Jun 10 $206 +$32 +15%
Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' Jun 10 $306 +$1 +0%
Will Kimbal Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's Jun 10 $68 +$18 +27%
Will Gwynne Shotwell be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Spac Jun 10 $123 +$15 +12%
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2027? Jun 10 $120 −$24 -20%
Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' Jun 10 $350 +$59 +17%
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027? Jun 10 $88 +$26 +30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% +$1,931
world 28% +$204
tech 22% +$396
finance 2% +$329
crypto 2% −$69
politics 1% +$126
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 17m
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 17m
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 17m
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 17m
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 5¢ $17 18m
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 5¢ $37 18m
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July SELL Yes 20¢ $46 18m
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 6¢ $18 41m
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July BUY Yes 24¢ $0 50m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 39¢ $4 2h
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July BUY Yes 24¢ $0 2h
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July BUY Yes 24¢ $0 2h
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July BUY Yes 24¢ $0 2h
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July BUY Yes 24¢ $0 2h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 49¢ $2 3h
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 3h
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 3h
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 6¢ $6 3h
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July BUY Yes 27¢ $1 3h
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 3h
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 7¢ $0 3h
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 5¢ $13 3h
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 7¢ $0 3h
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July SELL Yes 11¢ $1 3h
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 5¢ $6 3h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 17¢ $13 3h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 3h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 3h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 20¢ $1 3h
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 6¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+90.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +110.7% +90.6% 49% 36% -4.6%
≤30d 61 +110.7% +90.6% 49% 36% -4.6%
≤90d 61 +110.7% +90.6% 49% 36% -4.6%
all 61 +110.7% +90.6% 49% 36% -4.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover776.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +90.6% 36% -4.6%
10% ← realistic here +72.4% 23% -13.8%
15% +55.7% 13% -22.1%
20% +40.5% 11% -29.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,401.81 · official $6,402.15 (match) · 3500 history records