Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:35:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9fa5…d07d
crypto · 1156 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,562 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,562 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,562
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses1059 / 248
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1307 / 1156
History coverage8d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day268.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 1307 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,625
7 days−$1,554
14 days−$1,562
30 days−$1,562
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 62¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 52¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 34¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 58¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 78¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 62¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 88¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 96¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 86¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 70¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 94¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 94¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 89¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 80¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 85¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 93¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 72¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 98¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 96¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 35¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 97¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 97¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 93¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 30¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $77 −$77 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -102%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$22
other 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 56m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down $11 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1169 -12.8% -21.1% 80% 9% -17.8%
≤30d 1307 -11.6% -20.0% 81% 9% -16.8%
≤90d 1307 -11.6% -20.0% 81% 9% -16.8%
all 1307 -11.6% -20.0% 81% 9% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover268.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 9% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 4% -24.7%
15% -34.7% 2% -32.0%
20% -41.1% 1% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records