Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:59:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9F 0x9fac…6b79 crypto 408 markets active 7h ago coverage 17d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 17d only
✗ bot/MM pace (180 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$566 (-8%) realized −$566 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate41%168W / 240L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day180.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$121
7 days−$247
14 days−$176
30 days−$200
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$200
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (180 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 158 -16.5% -24.5% 39% 37% -17.2%
≤30d 408 -9.3% -17.9% 41% 40% -12.2%
≤90d 408 -9.3% -17.9% 41% 40% -12.2%
all 408 -9.3% -17.9% 41% 40% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover180.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.9% 40% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -25.8% 40% -20.6%
15% -32.9% 37% -28.3%
20% -39.5% 34% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -21% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
7.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$17 vs −$13 · ×1.34 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$566
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses168 / 240
Open positions0
Markets (closed)408 / 408
History coverage17d ⚠
Avg bet$17
Trades / day180.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 408 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $39 +$31 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$39 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $33 +$22 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $38 +$30 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$11 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$13 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$9 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$15 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$18 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$16 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$11 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$24 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$7 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$12 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$14 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$28 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$9 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$24 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$15 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$23 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$13 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$8 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records