Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:04:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9fb2…a5b8
crypto · 36 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses12 / 21
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)33 / 36
History coverage71d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? Yes 15¢ 26¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+77%)
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Yes 33¢ 57¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+74%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giants - Who wins the toss? Sunrisers Hyderabad 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +183%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Apr 06 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Apr 06 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Apr 06 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Apr 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Apr 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giants - W Apr 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Apr 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Apr 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Apr 05 $1 +$2 +169%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indians Apr 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Apr 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Apr 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Apr 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% $0
sports 4% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 36h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 51¢ $3 43h
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 4d
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-33.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +3.2% -6.6% 50% 45% +6.5%
≤30d 20 +3.2% -6.6% 50% 45% +6.5%
≤90d 33 -25.9% -33.0% 36% 33% -18.3%
all 33 -25.9% -33.0% 36% 33% -18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.0% 33% -18.3%
10% -39.4% 30% -26.1%
15% -45.2% 27% -33.3%
20% -50.6% 24% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.98 · official $7.98 (match) · 72 history records