Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T20:27:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9F 0x9fb5…cf6d crypto 480 markets active 0h ago coverage 57d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$964 (-9%) realized −$964 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate70%338W / 142L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day13.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$82
7 days−$151
14 days−$233
30 days−$233
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,141
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 153 +1.0% -8.6% 86% 42% -12.1%
≤30d 317 -2.3% -11.6% 83% 51% -12.9%
≤90d 480 -5.9% -14.9% 70% 50% -18.8%
all 480 -5.9% -14.9% 70% 50% -18.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.9% 50% -18.8%
10% -23.0% 20% -26.6%
15% -30.5% 18% -33.7%
20% -37.3% 18% -40.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$26 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.69 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

57d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$964
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses338 / 142
Open positions0
Markets (closed)480 / 480
History coverage57d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day13.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 480 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 19 $39 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 19 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 19 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 19 $40 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 19 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 19 $40 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 19 $39 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 19 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 19 $39 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 19 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 19 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 19 $40 +$9 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 19 $39 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 19 $39 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 19 $40 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 19 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 19 $40 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 19 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 19 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 19 $40 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 19 $40 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 19 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 19 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 19 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 19 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 19 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 19 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 19 $39 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 19 $39 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 19 $40 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 19 $40 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 19 $39 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 19 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 19 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 19 $39 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $40 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 19 $40 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 19 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 18 $39 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 18 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 18 $39 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 18 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 18 $40 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 18 $39 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 18 $39 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 18 $39 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 18 $40 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 18 $39 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 18 $40 +$3 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $39 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $40 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $40 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $40 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $40 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $39 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $40 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $40 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $40 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $39 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $39 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $40 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $40 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $40 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $40 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $40 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $40 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $39 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $40 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $39 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $40 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $40 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $39 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $40 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $39 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $40 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1319 history records