trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 20% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 14% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 22% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 26 | -5.9% | -14.8% | 23% | 4% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.8% | 4% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -23.0% | 4% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -30.4% | 4% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -37.3% | 4% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 53¢ | 52¢ | $33 | $33 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 16 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 13 | $38 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 12 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $8 | $0 | -3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 10 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the | Apr 26 | $129 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026? | Apr 23 | $31 | +$2 | +6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026? | Apr 21 | $49 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | Apr 19 | $124 | +$4 | +3% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Apr 18 | $43 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 02 | $227 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 02 | $135 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 02 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 02 | $227 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 01 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Apr 01 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 01 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 31 | $227 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 31 | $227 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | Mar 31 | $60 | −$11 | -19% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 30 | $191 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mark Few make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of F | Dec 07 | $3 | +$2 | +60% |
| Weber State vs. Montana State | Feb 14 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw? | Jan 07 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |