Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T14:32:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9F 0x9fcd…1771 crypto 249 markets active 1h ago coverage 17d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 16d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (192 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$4,232 (-56%) realized −$4,232 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -58% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -68% what you keep after slip
Net edge-68%after slip
Net WR9%break-even
Win rate14%101W / 611L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$30per market
Trades / day192.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 17d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$121
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (192 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-61.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 573 -72.1% -74.8% 6% 5% -12.2%
≤30d 712 -57.9% -61.9% 14% 9% -11.7%
≤90d 712 -57.9% -61.9% 14% 9% -11.7%
all 712 -57.9% -61.9% 14% 9% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover192.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -61.9% 9% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -65.6% 5% -20.1%
15% -68.9% 4% -27.9%
20% -72.0% 2% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 41% · top 2 50% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
37% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -58% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -40% → late -76% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
12.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$2 · ×5.32 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,232
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses101 / 611
Open positions0
Markets (closed)712 / 249
History coverage17d ⚠
Avg bet$30
Trades / day192.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 712 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$10 -344%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$19 +199%
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $25 −$192 -771%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records