trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 100% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 33% | 0% | -11.3% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 33% | 0% | -11.3% |
| all | 25 | -12.7% | -21.0% | 40% | 0% | -11.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.0% | 0% | -11.2% |
| 10% | -28.6% | 0% | -19.7% |
| 15% | -35.5% | 0% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -41.8% | 0% | -34.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $35 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 27 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 26 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 25 | $79 | +$1 | +2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 25 | $38 | −$7 | -18% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | May 24 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 23 | $37 | −$4 | -11% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 23 | $45 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | May 21 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 20 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 20 | $90 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 19 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jul 23 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok? | Jun 26 | $13 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Left be part of the next German government? | Apr 08 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 03 | $31 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will 'A Working Man' gross between 11-14m on opening weekend? | Apr 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference? | Apr 01 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days? | Mar 31 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 21-28? | Mar 29 | $17 | $0 | +3% |
| Will 'Snow White' gross less than 34m on opening weekend? | Mar 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 53°F or below on March 23? | Mar 24 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Digital Asset Summit? | Mar 21 | $17 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the CDU/CSU win between 28% and 30% of the vote in the German ele | Mar 20 | $18 | $0 | +1% |