Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:00:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9F 0x9fdd…dd29 crypto 1782 markets active 1h ago coverage 39d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 38d only
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$160 (+7%) realized +$160 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate69%1362W / 601L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day54.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$349
7 days−$347
14 days−$311
30 days−$317
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 472 -47.2% -52.2% 49% 11% -57.6%
≤30d 1270 -16.1% -24.1% 72% 33% -25.7%
≤90d 1963 -12.0% -20.4% 69% 38% -22.1%
all 1963 -12.0% -20.4% 69% 38% -22.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover54.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.4% 38% -22.1%
10% ← realistic here -28.0% 22% -29.6%
15% -35.0% 15% -36.4%
20% -41.4% 10% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
39% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -21% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.24 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.54 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

39d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$160
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses1362 / 601
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1963 / 1782
History coverage39d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day54.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1963 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 35h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records