Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:29:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9F 0x9fdf…4468 crypto 214 markets active 2d ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (136 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$28 (-1%) realized −$28 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR7%break-even
Win rate37%79W / 135L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day136.1pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$77
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (136 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 -12.2% -20.6% 40% 5% -11.6%
≤30d 214 -12.1% -20.4% 37% 7% -12.7%
≤90d 214 -12.1% -20.4% 37% 7% -12.7%
all 214 -12.1% -20.4% 37% 7% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover136.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.4% 7% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.0% 4% -21.1%
15% -35.0% 1% -28.7%
20% -41.4% 1% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
78% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.72 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.42 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses79 / 135
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)214 / 214
History coverage6d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day136.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 214 Trades
no open positions (19 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playof Jun 15 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $58 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $37 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $21 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $68 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $66 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $14 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $12 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $45 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $17 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $55 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $17 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $63 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$8 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playof SELL Paper Rex 62¢ $2 47h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playof BUY Paper Rex 63¢ $2 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 983 history records