Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:32:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9fe3…2174
crypto · 4 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$20 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day21.0
Drawdown54%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$20
14 days+$20
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 10¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$23 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$13 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$28 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +4.4% -5.5% 75% 75% +2.7%
≤30d 4 +4.4% -5.5% 75% 75% +2.7%
≤90d 4 +4.4% -5.5% 75% 75% +2.7%
all 4 +4.4% -5.5% 75% 75% +2.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.5% 75% +2.7%
10% ← realistic here -14.6% 75% -7.1%
15% -22.8% 25% -16.1%
20% -30.4% 25% -24.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 23 history records