Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:14:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa004…c451
crypto · 975 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$273 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$274 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$274
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses381 / 616
Open positions1
Markets (closed)997 / 975
History coverage14d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day183.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 997 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$116
7 days−$210
14 days−$267
30 days−$274
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 54¢ 72¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$176
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 553 -0.3% -9.8% 40% 37% -14.8%
≤30d 997 +2.0% -7.7% 38% 32% -12.9%
≤90d 997 +2.0% -7.7% 38% 32% -12.9%
all 997 +2.0% -7.7% 38% 32% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover183.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 32% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -16.6% 28% -21.2%
15% -24.6% 25% -28.8%
20% -32.0% 25% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.35 · official $3.57 (match) · 3500 history records