Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:09:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa007…9b9d
crypto · 1356 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11,065 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11,061 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$42
Realized−$11,061
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses987 / 655
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1642 / 1356
History coverage5d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day473.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1642 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,611
7 days−$11,061
14 days−$11,061
30 days−$11,061
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 89¢ 90¢ $40 $41 +$1 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 60¢ 10¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-84%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $91 −$91 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $122 −$122 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $149 −$149 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $92 −$92 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $145 −$145 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$351
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $41 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $41 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $43 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $42 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $41 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $53 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $43 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $40 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $44 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $41 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $6 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $40 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-29.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1642 -21.9% -29.4% 60% 36% -27.1%
≤30d 1642 -21.9% -29.4% 60% 36% -27.1%
≤90d 1642 -21.9% -29.4% 60% 36% -27.1%
all 1642 -21.9% -29.4% 60% 36% -27.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover473.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.4% 36% -27.1%
10% ← realistic here -36.1% 16% -34.1%
15% -42.3% 7% -40.5%
20% -48.0% 2% -46.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.92 · official $43.78 · 3500 history records