Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:58:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa009…3470
sports · 2130 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$176 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$172 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$87
Realized+$172
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses1258 / 675
Est. fees paid−$26
Open positions39
Markets (closed)1933 / 2130
History coverage25d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day84.2
Drawdown63%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 39 History 1933 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$254
7 days−$169
14 days−$28
30 days+$172
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Club Blooming vs. CD Real Tomayapo: O/U 4.5 Over 25¢ 58¢ $1 $3 +$1 (+132%)
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage Vasco Esports 23¢ 50¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+117%)
Club Blooming vs. GV CD San José: O/U 4.5 Over 23¢ 50¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+117%)
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Arevalo/Pavic vs Rinderknech/Vacherot Rinderknech/Vacherot 25¢ 50¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+100%)
CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs. Club ABB: O/U 2.5 Under 27¢ 48¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+78%)
Spread: GV CD San José (-1.5) GV CD San José 35¢ 49¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+40%)
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs UNO MILLE 38¢ 50¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers SSG Landers 38¢ 50¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
GV CD San José vs. CD Real Tomayapo: O/U 3.5 Over 39¢ 50¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Doosan Bears Doosan Bears 40¢ 50¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs eternal premium (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage eternal premium 40¢ 50¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Spread: Club The Strongest (-1.5) CD Oriente Petrolero 41¢ 50¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 52¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-05-23? Yes 63¢ 74¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Cervia: Lilian Marmousez vs Federico Bondioli Federico Bondioli 43¢ 50¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Holon BC Maccabi Tel-Aviv 87¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
Will Thor Akureyri win on 2026-06-14? Yes 32¢ 36¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan Alan Magadan 50¢ 55¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia (Doubles): Bucsa/Melichar vs Gauff/McNally Gauff/McNally 47¢ 50¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Chicago Wolves Toronto Marlies 47¢ 50¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
ITF Cuiaba: Salvador Price vs Nick Hardt Nick Hardt 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Over 68¢ 72¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito Sara Saito 55¢ 56¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) South Africa 69¢ 72¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
O/U 1.5 Rounds Under 46¢ 48¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stag Jun 12 $1 +$1 +117%
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs eternal premium (BO3) - Exort Series M Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia (Doubles): Bucsa/Melichar vs Gauff/McNally Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Valencia: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jaume Munar Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Geneva Open (Doubles): Hidalgo/Tabilo vs Bhambri/Venus Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
O/U 2.5 Rounds Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Cervia: Ivan Ivanov vs Franco Roncadelli Jun 12 $1 $0 -15%
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 12 $1 $0 -17%
Hamburg European Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Joao Fonseca Jun 12 $1 $0 -26%
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Ser Jun 12 $1 $0 -29%
Valencia (Doubles): Carabelli/Vallejo vs Frantzen/Haase Jun 12 $1 $0 -32%
Zagreb: Yannick Alexandrescou vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Jun 12 $1 $0 -42%
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs 9INE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe C Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Parma: Lisa Pigato vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Henan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Yulia Putintseva vs Oleks Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Yastremska vs. Sierra: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Lahore Qalandars Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Voca (BO3) - FRAG Group D Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FK Oleksandriya win on 2026-05-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs MASQ (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Sebastian Ofner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Stefan Dostanic Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Madrid Open: Shuai Zhang vs Eva Lys Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Keys vs. Ferro: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-22? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. AC Nagano Parceiro: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Pl Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
ASC Oțelul Galați vs. FC UTA Arad: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockx Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup America Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Z7 Esports (BO1) - Parken Challenger Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-29? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Charles Broom Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-04-19? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South Amer Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stag Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Conviction vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Juvan vs. Uchijima: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Virtus.pro vs FORZE Esports (BO3) - MLBB Con Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ducks vs. Wild Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$416
other 6% +$41
world 0% +$3
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Monastir: Marcus Walters vs Dominick Mosejczuk BUY Dominick Mosejczuk 69¢ $1 7m
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 55¢ $1 42m
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim BUY Jangjun Kim 61¢ $1 53m
BC Lietkabelis Panevezys vs. BC Neptunas Klaipeda BUY BC Neptunas Klaipeda 44¢ $1 1h
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan BUY Alan Magadan 50¢ $1 1h
ITF Hurghada: Martyna Kubka vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson BUY Gabriela Andrea Knutson 49¢ $1 1h
ITF Decatur: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Piper Charney BUY Piper Charney 69¢ $1 5h
Will COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 6h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 75¢ $1 6h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 64¢ $1 7h
ITF Decatur: Ana Grubor vs Lea Ma BUY Lea Ma 91¢ $1 7h
ITF Wichita: Andrew Fenty vs Lucas Marionneau BUY Andrew Fenty 56¢ $1 8h
Stroemsgodset IF vs. Raufoss IL: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 74¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 49¢ $1 10h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 64¢ $1 10h
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY Washed 69¢ $1 10h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 61¢ $1 12h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 48¢ $1 12h
ITF Casablanca: Nina Vargova vs Martina Colmegna BUY Nina Vargova 81¢ $1 13h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 52¢ $1 14h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY KT Wiz 55¢ $1 14h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 53¢ $1 14h
ITF Guimaraes: Katherine Sebov vs Manon Leonard BUY Katherine Sebov 59¢ $1 14h
ITF Zagreb: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Gina Marie Dittmann BUY Anna-Lena Friedsam 86¢ $1 14h
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf BUY Henry Bernet 80¢ $1 15h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 45¢ $1 15h
O/U 1.5 Rounds BUY Under 46¢ $1 16h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY Donstu Esports 45¢ $1 17h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5 BUY Under 51¢ $1 18h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 157.5 BUY Under 48¢ $1 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-2.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 558 -28.6% -35.4% 46% 40% -34.7%
≤30d 1933 +7.5% -2.7% 65% 60% -2.2%
≤90d 1933 +7.5% -2.7% 65% 60% -2.2%
all 1933 +7.5% -2.7% 65% 60% -2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover84.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.7% 60% -2.2%
10% ← realistic here -12.0% 50% -11.5%
15% -20.5% 41% -20.1%
20% -28.3% 30% -27.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $86.59 · official $86.59 (match) · 3500 history records