Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:17:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa00e…9606
crypto · 501 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,459 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,459 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$109
Realized−$3,459
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses255 / 672
Open positions1
Markets (closed)927 / 501
History coverage2d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day1768.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 927 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,459
7 days−$3,459
14 days−$3,459
30 days−$3,459
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $36 $60 +$24 (+65%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 46¢ 84¢ $11 $21 +$9 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $10 $20 +$10 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 17¢ 16¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 39¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+156%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+117%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$797
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $12 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $15 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $11 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $12 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $6 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $12 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $17 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $18 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 17m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-50.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 927 -45.1% -50.3% 28% 20% -23.5%
≤30d 927 -45.1% -50.3% 28% 20% -23.5%
≤90d 927 -45.1% -50.3% 28% 20% -23.5%
all 927 -45.1% -50.3% 28% 20% -23.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1768.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.3% 20% -23.5%
10% ← realistic here -55.1% 14% -30.8%
15% -59.4% 10% -37.5%
20% -63.4% 8% -43.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $109.09 · official $107.13 · 3500 history records