Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:51:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa00f…0636
crypto · 1226 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$519 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$752 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$752
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses499 / 726
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1225 / 1226
History coverage73d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day37.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1225 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$101
7 days−$154
14 days−$298
30 days−$287
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Up 54¢ 58¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+8%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$4 -10%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $54 −$5 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$2 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$16 -90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$1 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$13 -64%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$8 -84%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$3 +42%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +120%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -67%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -26%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$7 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$3 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Jun 09 $15 +$7 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$752
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $8 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $6 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $6 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $6 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $5 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $3 59m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $17 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $13 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $18 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $14 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $14 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $15 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-26.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -33.6% -40.0% 37% 29% -45.3%
≤30d 233 -45.6% -50.7% 26% 22% -41.7%
≤90d 1225 -18.5% -26.2% 41% 37% -19.9%
all 1225 -18.5% -26.2% 41% 37% -19.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.2% 37% -19.9%
10% ← realistic here -33.3% 32% -27.5%
15% -39.7% 27% -34.5%
20% -45.7% 22% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.93 · official $2.93 (match) · 3500 history records