Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T15:13:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A0 0xa017…ac57 crypto 279 markets active 0h ago coverage 11d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 10d only
✗ bot/MM pace (293 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$1,157 (-7%) realized −$1,157 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate93%262W / 21L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$56per market
Trades / day293.4pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$154now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$330
7 days−$330
14 days−$215
30 days−$215
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$126
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (293 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)+6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 -6.6% -15.5% 93% 0% -20.5%
≤30d 283 +17.9% +6.7% 93% 3% -11.4%
≤90d 283 +17.9% +6.7% 93% 3% -11.4%
all 283 +17.9% +6.7% 93% 3% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover293.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.7% 3% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -3.5% 1% -19.8%
15% -12.8% 1% -27.6%
20% -21.4% 1% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 33% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
96% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +18% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +43% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
11.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$56 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$154
Realized−$1,157
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses262 / 21
Open positions2
Markets (closed)283 / 279
History coverage11d ⚠
Avg bet$56
Trades / day293.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 283 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down on June 15? Up 100¢ 100¢ $90 $90 −$0 (-0%)
Solana Up or Down on June 15? Up 100¢ 100¢ $60 $60 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 18 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 11AM ET Jun 15 $45 −$45 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET Jun 15 $148 −$148 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 11AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET Jun 15 $135 −$135 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ET Jun 15 $55 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ET Jun 15 $90 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8AM ET Jun 15 $185 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7AM ET Jun 15 $70 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7AM ET Jun 15 $144 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $175 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $165 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $120 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11PM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 3m
XRP Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 4m
XRP Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 5m
XRP Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 5m
XRP Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 6m
Solana Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 6m
XRP Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 6m
Solana Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 7m
XRP Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 7m
XRP Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 7m
Solana Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 7m
XRP Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 7m
XRP Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 8m
XRP Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 8m
XRP Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 8m
XRP Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 9m
Solana Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 9m
XRP Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 9m
Solana Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 9m
Solana Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 9m
XRP Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 9m
Solana Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 10m
XRP Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 10m
Solana Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 10m
XRP Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 10m
XRP Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 11m
Solana Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 100¢ $5 11m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $154.04 · official $154.04 (match) · 3500 history records