Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:09:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa01e…3de8
crypto · 26 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses7 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)26 / 26
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day52.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 26 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $1 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -9.9% -18.5% 27% 8% -18.6%
≤30d 26 -9.9% -18.5% 27% 8% -18.6%
≤90d 26 -9.9% -18.5% 27% 8% -18.6%
all 26 -9.9% -18.5% 27% 8% -18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.5% 8% -18.6%
10% ← realistic here -26.3% 4% -26.4%
15% -33.4% 4% -33.5%
20% -39.9% 0% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 52 history records