Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:36:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa021…67ee
crypto · 14 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$11 +41%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses9 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)14 / 14
History coverage9d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$9
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 04 $2 +$2 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)+9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +15.2% +4.3% 62% 62% +23.3%
≤30d 14 +20.8% +9.3% 64% 64% +27.3%
≤90d 14 +20.8% +9.3% 64% 64% +27.3%
all 14 +20.8% +9.3% 64% 64% +27.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +9.3% 64% +27.3%
10% -1.2% 64% +15.1%
15% -10.7% 64% +4.0%
20% -19.5% 64% -6.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 24 history records