trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 23 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $889 | $889 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 23 | $1,232 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 23 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $1,159 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 23 | $1,125 | −$1 | -0% |
| Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond? | Jun 22 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market clos | Jun 22 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? | Jun 22 | $1,183 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 22 | $1,179 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 18 | $168 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 17 | $168 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats | Apr 17 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Apr 16 | $176 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | Apr 16 | $173 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | Apr 13 | $173 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Apr 03 | $98 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 03 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | Apr 03 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Mar 29 | $120 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 29 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Mar 29 | $74 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 26 | $139 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30? | Mar 26 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Based FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Mar 26 | $58 | $0 | -0% |