Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T12:55:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A0 0xa032…91d5 crypto 226 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 4d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (675 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,603 (-6%) realized −$1,556 · open −$47
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -73% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -79% what you keep after slip
Net edge-79%after slip
Net WR14%break-even
Win rate18%111W / 519L
Whale WR56%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$110per market
Trades / day675.3pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$522
other 1% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (675 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-75.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 630 -73.2% -75.7% 18% 14% -37.3%
≤30d 630 -73.2% -75.7% 18% 14% -37.3%
≤90d 630 -73.2% -75.7% 18% 14% -37.3%
all 630 -73.2% -75.7% 18% 14% -37.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover675.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -75.7% 14% -37.3%
10% ← realistic here -78.1% 11% -43.3%
15% -80.2% 8% -48.8%
20% -82.1% 5% -53.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -33% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
18% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -73% · $-wt -33% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 56% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -46% → late -100% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
14.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$50 vs −$33 · ×1.52 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.33 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized−$1,556
Unrealized−$47
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses111 / 519
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)630 / 226
History coverage5d ⚠
Avg bet$110
Trades / day675.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 630 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 90¢ 4¢ $49 $2 −$47 (-96%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 499 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 19 $0 −$405 -112726%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 19 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 19 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 19 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 19 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 19 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 19 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 19 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 19 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 19 $107 −$107 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 19 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 19 $176 −$176 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 19 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 19 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3? Jun 19 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 19 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 19 $45 −$45 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $0 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 11m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.93 · official $37.67 · 3500 history records