trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 31 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 26% | 16% | -8.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.9% | 16% | -8.0% |
| 10% | -29.4% | 16% | -16.8% |
| 15% | -36.2% | 16% | -24.8% |
| 20% | -42.4% | 16% | -32.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $524 | $524 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $454 | $454 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 25 | $1,996 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 24 | $442 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 24 | $552 | −$1 | -0% |
| Kings vs. Capitals | Nov 17 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Heat | Nov 17 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Predators | Nov 17 | $12 | +$14 | +117% |
| Clippers vs. Mavericks | Nov 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Jazz | Nov 13 | $10 | +$12 | +122% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Jul 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | May 19 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 15 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League? | May 15 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 12 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May? | May 06 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | May 05 | $5 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 05 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 27 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Kraken vs. Blue Jackets | Jan 10 | $102 | +$102 | +100% |
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Jan 09 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will there be 170,000,000-175,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. President | Jan 08 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Panthers vs. Avalanche | Jan 08 | $116 | +$99 | +85% |
| Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday? | Oct 07 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 02 | $12 | +$19 | +163% |
| 草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)? | Oct 01 | $19 | $0 | +0% |