Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:35:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa05a…4635
sports · 1030 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,276 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,596 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,284
Realized−$1,596
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses462 / 599
Est. fees paid−$134
Open positions88
Markets (closed)1061 / 1030
History coverage4d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day619.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 88 History 1061 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,754
7 days−$1,596
14 days−$1,596
30 days−$1,596
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 47¢ 72¢ $79 $119 +$40 (+51%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 42¢ 32¢ $143 $107 −$36 (-25%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 53¢ 96¢ $43 $78 +$35 (+81%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 41¢ 54¢ $55 $73 +$18 (+33%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 53¢ 37¢ $86 $60 −$26 (-30%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins 52¢ 100¢ $29 $56 +$27 (+94%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks 59¢ 63¢ $46 $49 +$3 (+7%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles San Diego Padres 60¢ 68¢ $32 $37 +$4 (+13%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 171.5 Under 48¢ 68¢ $23 $32 +$10 (+43%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 32¢ 22¢ $43 $29 −$14 (-33%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 42¢ 28¢ $33 $22 −$10 (-32%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5 Over 69¢ 100¢ $13 $19 +$6 (+45%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) New York Mets 57¢ 97¢ $10 $17 +$7 (+69%)
ITF Los Angeles: Alina Shcherbinina vs Kaitlyn Carnicella Alina Shcherbinina 72¢ 90¢ $12 $15 +$3 (+26%)
ITF kiseljak: Josip Simundza vs Yannick Baluska Yannick Baluska 7¢ 50¢ $2 $15 +$13 (+614%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 Over 57¢ 54¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-7%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 57¢ 46¢ $16 $13 −$3 (-19%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 57¢ 94¢ $7 $12 +$5 (+64%)
ITF Hurghada: Aliesia Reva vs Ashleigh Harvey Ashleigh Harvey 12¢ 50¢ $3 $12 +$9 (+317%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5 Over 51¢ 71¢ $8 $11 +$3 (+39%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 65¢ 78¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+22%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Over 41¢ 28¢ $16 $11 −$5 (-32%)
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana Shnaider Diana Shnaider 68¢ 68¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Under 48¢ 72¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+48%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 67¢ 90¢ $8 $10 +$3 (+35%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF kiseljak: Josip Simundza vs Yannick Baluska Jun 14 $14 −$6 -45%
ITF Hurghada: Aliesia Reva vs Ashleigh Harvey Jun 14 $10 −$4 -42%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 14 $3 +$2 +61%
ITF Varnamo: Patrik Munkhammar vs Max Dahlin Jun 14 $5 −$1 -26%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Mert Alkaya Jun 14 $9 −$3 -40%
ITF Decatur: Ava Hrastar vs Emma Jackson Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Libema Open, Qualification: Michael Geerts vs Elias Ymer Jun 14 $6 −$2 -31%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kurea Hayasaka Jun 14 $2 +$1 +35%
ITF Los Angeles: Christopher Papa vs Justin Roberts Jun 14 $3 +$1 +22%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: William Grant vs Jeremy Schifris Jun 14 $3 −$1 -18%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Emilio Nava Jun 14 $2 +$1 +28%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Anton Arzhankin Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
ITF Sumter: Whitney Osuigwe vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 14 $19 −$20 -102%
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Gabor Hornung vs Oscar Jose Gutierrez Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 160.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Charlotte Keitel Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 12.5 Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 169.5 Jun 14 $81 −$81 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 14 $15 −$10 -66%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ana Giraldi Requena vs Fangyu Shang Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
ITF San Gregorio: Miriana Tona vs Eleonora Alvisi Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Victoria Bervid vs Laura Hietaranta Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$237
other 1% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 47¢ $2 0m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 66¢ $1 0m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 77¢ $2 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 30¢ $17 1m
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 78¢ $2 1m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 55¢ $1 1m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 61¢ $1 1m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 36¢ $3 1m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 65¢ $1 2m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 21¢ $5 3m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 84¢ $2 3m
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 171.5 BUY Under 48¢ $16 4m
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 171.5 BUY Under 46¢ $5 5m
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 171.5 BUY Under 48¢ $2 5m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 70¢ $16 6m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 60¢ $1 6m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 48¢ $2 8m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 43¢ $16 8m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 64¢ $7 9m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 55¢ $16 9m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 58¢ $2 11m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 34¢ $17 12m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 61¢ $1 12m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 89¢ $5 12m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 55¢ $4 12m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 32¢ $17 13m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 55¢ $3 14m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 51¢ $16 14m
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) BUY Cincinnati Reds 69¢ $1 14m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 53¢ $3 15m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1061 -8.8% -17.5% 44% 34% -22.7%
≤30d 1061 -8.8% -17.5% 44% 34% -22.7%
≤90d 1061 -8.8% -17.5% 44% 34% -22.7%
all 1061 -8.8% -17.5% 44% 34% -22.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover619.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 34% -22.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 29% -30.1%
15% -32.6% 24% -36.8%
20% -39.2% 18% -43.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,284.47 · official $1,267.34 · 3500 history records