Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:00:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa05c…fcf9
crypto · 191 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$47 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$47
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses121 / 69
Open positions1
Markets (closed)190 / 191
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day443.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 190 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$47
7 days−$47
14 days−$47
30 days−$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 53¢ 60¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 44¢ 40¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-23.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 190 -15.4% -23.4% 64% 14% -13.9%
≤30d 190 -15.4% -23.4% 64% 14% -13.9%
≤90d 190 -15.4% -23.4% 64% 14% -13.9%
all 190 -15.4% -23.4% 64% 14% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover443.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.4% 14% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -30.7% 13% -22.1%
15% -37.4% 10% -29.6%
20% -43.6% 6% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.00 · official $5.00 (match) · 661 history records