Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:25:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa066…19bc
crypto · 242 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$21 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses230 / 8
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)238 / 242
History coverage8d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day29.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 238 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$25
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down on June 14? Down 99¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 99¢ 98¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 95¢ 96¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 95¢ 97¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Yes 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 13? Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$9
finance 3% −$19
other 2% +$1
sports 1% +$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 99¢ $20 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 11h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $15 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 236 -0.6% -10.1% 97% 0% -10.2%
≤30d 238 -0.6% -10.1% 97% 0% -10.2%
≤90d 238 -0.6% -10.1% 97% 0% -10.2%
all 238 -0.6% -10.1% 97% 0% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 0% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 0% -18.8%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.6%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $58.53 · official $58.55 (match) · 481 history records