Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T15:35:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0

score

A0 0xa06e…f56f other 4 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d

RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample

✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ bot/MM pace (117 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage

Total PnL +$1,091 (+58%) realized +$531 · open +$560

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Gross ROI / mkt +10% what the leader earns

→−copy tax

Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip

Net edge-19%after slip

Net WR50%break-even

Win rate100%2W / 0L

Drawdown0%max

Avg bet$469per market

Trades / day117.5pace

Kalshi-fit50%portable

Net worth$852now

Equity curve

realized PnL

Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net

insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +50%

net ROI/market (all)-0.6%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	2	+9.9%	-0.6%	100%	50%	-0.4%
≤30d	2	+9.9%	-0.6%	100%	50%	-0.4%
≤90d	2	+9.9%	-0.6%	100%	50%	-0.4%
all	2	+9.9%	-0.6%	100%	50%	-0.4%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip

turnover117.5 tr/day

realistic slip~15%

edge survives to0%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal	-0.6%	50%	-0.4%
10%	-10.1%	0%	-10.0%
15% ← realistic here	-18.8%	0%	-18.7%
20%	-26.7%	0%	-26.6%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill

Profit concentration

top 62% · top 2 100% thin sample

Edge freshness (90d)

90d ROI +10% too few recent

Fragile wins

50% wins margin < slip thin sample

Flat-copyable

equal-wt +10% · $-wt +10% works when copied flat

Big bets

big-bet WR —% no data

Persistence

early —% → late —% no data

Add-ons / DCA

12.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer

Win / loss size

+$73 vs — no data

Profit factor

— no data

Copy size

≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage

Net worth$852

Realized+$531

Unrealized+$560

Win rate (resolved)100%

Wins / losses2 / 0

Open positions2

Markets (closed)2 / 4

History coverage1d

Avg bet$469

Trades / day117.5

Drawdown0%

Kalshi-fit50%

Ledger

positions · history · trades

Positions 2 History 2 Trades

Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket

Market	outcome	entry	now	invested	value	unrealized PnL
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	Yes	8¢	24¢	$280	$841	+$561 (+200%)
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	7¢	6¢	$12	$11	−$1 (-7%)

Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Jun 24	$798	+$91	+11%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	Jun 23	$664	+$56	+8%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY Yes	7¢	$12	1m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	SELL Yes	29¢	$10	1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	2¢	$112	1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	2¢	$0	1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	2¢	$0	1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	2¢	$0	3h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	2¢	$227	3h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$0	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$9	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$0	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$0	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$6	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$0	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$1	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$0	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$1	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$0	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$0	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$0	4h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	SELL Yes	29¢	$304	4h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	SELL Yes	29¢	$1	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$0	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$0	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$0	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$0	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$0	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$0	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$0	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$1	4h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SELL Yes	3¢	$0	4h

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $852.15 · official $852.15 (match) · 150 history records