Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa070…c491
crypto · 2105 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$141 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$131 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$131
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses471 / 1599
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2070 / 2105
History coverage89d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day23.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 2070 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$77
7 days+$87
14 days+$84
30 days+$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +479%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$4 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$17 +625%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$11 +411%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$8 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$131
other 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-30.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 287 +13.3% +2.5% 78% 62% +1.8%
≤30d 308 +11.3% +0.7% 77% 61% +1.1%
≤90d 2070 -22.6% -30.0% 23% 20% -24.4%
all 2070 -22.6% -30.0% 23% 20% -24.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.0% 20% -24.4%
10% ← realistic here -36.7% 17% -31.6%
15% -42.8% 15% -38.2%
20% -48.4% 13% -44.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 3500 history records