Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:47:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa085…7fcc
sports · 746 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$960 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,058 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$274
Realized−$1,058
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses427 / 315
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$123
Open positions4
Markets (closed)742 / 746
History coverage150d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day7.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 742 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$179
7 days+$452
14 days+$705
30 days+$705
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 70¢ 69¢ $210 $208 −$2 (-1%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 47¢ 40¢ $50 $42 −$8 (-16%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 29¢ 28¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Over 32¢ 33¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Mexico 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage FOKUS 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs Heroic 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B Spirit 73¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) Gen.G 63¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega 100 Thieves 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha G2 Esports 78¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage EYEBALLERS 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega Team Vitality 59¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 26¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 Top Esports 59¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage BC.Game Esports 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A Astralis 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage PARIVISION 75¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage BC.Game Esports 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs GamerLegion 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Last Bullet - Map 2 Winner Last Bullet 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Monte 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$3 +34%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $100 +$13 +13%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $10 +$45 +442%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $15 +$9 +62%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $100 +$16 +16%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $15 +$33 +216%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $40 +$11 +27%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $251 +$27 +11%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $36 +$14 +40%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $35 +$13 +38%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $30 −$30 -99%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) Jun 13 $20 +$5 +23%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $402 −$24 -6%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$42 -83%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $35 +$15 +43%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $13 +$26 +197%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 +$22 +109%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $41 +$41 +101%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 +$10 +50%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $35 +$26 +76%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $51 +$28 +55%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$14 +71%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $25 +$5 +19%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $101 +$20 +20%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $17 −$17 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$6 +112%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $25 −$25 -98%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 11 $36 +$81 +226%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $25 +$22 +86%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $126 +$45 +36%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $15 −$15 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $25 +$9 +34%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $25 +$9 +34%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $51 +$39 +76%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $40 +$19 +48%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $8 −$8 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $101 +$17 +16%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $30 −$30 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $210 +$25 +12%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $8 +$9 +112%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $164 +$14 +9%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $51 +$36 +72%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $22 −$22 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $9 −$9 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$1,053
other 0% −$32
world 0% +$4
crypto 0% +$8
politics 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $212 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 29¢ $20 1h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 32¢ $3 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 74¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 61¢ $15 11h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $100 12h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $10 12h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 86¢ $100 13h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 33¢ $10 13h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 31¢ $15 15h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 78¢ $40 17h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $30 17h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 72¢ $35 20h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $251 25h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $36 25h
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) BUY Gen.G 81¢ $20 26h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 80¢ $201 34h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 6¢ $9 34h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 35h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $10 35h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $51 35h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $51 35h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $39 35h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 56¢ $129 35h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $201 36h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $41 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $13 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $35 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $20 2d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 47¢ $20 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 +18.7% +7.4% 68% 64% +5.4%
≤30d 93 +13.2% +2.4% 68% 65% +5.7%
≤90d 409 -0.2% -9.7% 57% 52% -11.6%
all 742 -0.7% -10.2% 58% 52% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 52% -11.3%
10% -18.8% 42% -19.8%
15% -26.6% 34% -27.6%
20% -33.8% 24% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $273.54 · official $273.58 (match) · 1434 history records