Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:23:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa08a…dd11
crypto · 19 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$27 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses10 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)19 / 19
Avg bet$9
Trades / day30.0
Drawdown73%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 19 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$27
14 days+$27
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$18 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$34 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$11 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $61 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +2.4% -7.4% 53% 53% +5.1%
≤30d 19 +2.4% -7.4% 53% 53% +5.1%
≤90d 19 +2.4% -7.4% 53% 53% +5.1%
all 19 +2.4% -7.4% 53% 53% +5.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 53% +5.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 53% -4.9%
15% -24.3% 47% -14.1%
20% -31.7% 47% -22.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 39 history records