Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:03:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa08a…bc56
crypto · 1294 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$92 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$113 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized−$113
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses699 / 555
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1254 / 1294
History coverage21d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day77.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 1254 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$72
7 days+$146
14 days−$291
30 days−$113
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 76¢ 68¢ $14 $12 −$2 (-11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 79¢ 68¢ $14 $12 −$2 (-15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$11 +77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$149
sports 0% +$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $14 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 586 +1.0% -8.6% 57% 57% -6.4%
≤30d 1254 +0.6% -9.0% 56% 56% -10.8%
≤90d 1254 +0.6% -9.0% 56% 56% -10.8%
all 1254 +0.6% -9.0% 56% 56% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover77.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 56% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 55% -19.3%
15% -25.7% 53% -27.1%
20% -32.9% 48% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.50 · official $23.22 · 2377 history records