Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:02:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa090…36d2
crypto · 1335 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$329 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$329 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$329
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses827 / 508
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1335 / 1335
History coverage69d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day40.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1335 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET May 15 $6 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET May 15 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET May 15 $4 −$3 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET May 15 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET May 15 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET May 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET May 15 $6 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET May 15 $4 −$4 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET May 15 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET May 15 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET May 15 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET May 15 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET May 15 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET May 15 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET May 15 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET May 15 $2 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET May 15 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET May 14 $5 −$3 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET May 14 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET May 14 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 14 $5 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET May 14 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET May 14 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET May 14 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 14 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET May 14 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET May 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET May 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$329
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -10.9% -19.4% 65% 25% -13.3%
≤30d 41 -15.3% -23.4% 51% 15% -18.8%
≤90d 1335 -7.1% -16.0% 62% 25% -14.0%
all 1335 -7.1% -16.0% 62% 25% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 25% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 9% -22.3%
15% -31.4% 4% -29.8%
20% -38.1% 2% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records