Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:16:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A0 0xa099…b1d4 sports 175 markets active 17h ago coverage 9d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (52 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$132 (+4%) realized +$132 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate59%103W / 72L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day52.3pace
Fees−$60est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$41
7 days+$55
14 days+$81
30 days+$81
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 96% +$121
other 3% −$36
crypto 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (52 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 132 +2.2% -7.5% 58% 55% -7.7%
≤30d 175 -0.2% -9.7% 59% 55% -7.5%
≤90d 175 -0.2% -9.7% 59% 55% -7.5%
all 175 -0.2% -9.7% 59% 55% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 55% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 45% -16.4%
15% -26.2% 32% -24.4%
20% -33.5% 14% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$10 · ×0.78 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.11 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$132
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses103 / 72
Est. fees paid−$60
Open positions0
Markets (closed)175 / 175
History coverage9d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day52.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 175 Trades
no open positions (34 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs Jun 19 $33 +$16 +48%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Pla Jun 19 $46 +$8 +18%
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 19 $38 +$8 +20%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 19 $1 −$1 -97%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playof Jun 19 $18 +$8 +44%
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 19 $23 +$7 +29%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner Jun 19 $5 $0 +2%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner Jun 19 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner Jun 19 $12 −$12 -100%
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - The Inter Jun 19 $23 +$5 +24%
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines - Game 2 Winner Jun 19 $13 +$7 +54%
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 19 $28 +$4 +14%
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 19 $13 +$6 +43%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 18 $15 −$15 -100%
Valorant: 9z Team vs OXEN - Map 2 Winner Jun 18 $12 +$8 +65%
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs KOLESIE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Jun 18 $20 −$5 -25%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 18 $13 +$7 +51%
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner Jun 18 $38 +$9 +25%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Jun 18 $12 +$8 +63%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Jun 18 $10 +$3 +27%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner Jun 18 $13 −$1 -4%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winne Jun 18 $15 −$15 -98%
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $14 +$6 +40%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $13 −$13 -100%
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner Jun 18 $34 $0 +1%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 18 $15 +$9 +57%
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs ROSE - Map 2 Winner Jun 18 $12 +$5 +41%
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stag Jun 17 $15 −$3 -21%
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Sta Jun 17 $14 +$6 +43%
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $14 +$6 +40%
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 17 $49 +$6 +12%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $9 −$2 -24%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Jun 17 $50 +$8 +16%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playo Jun 17 $25 +$5 +21%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner Jun 17 $20 +$14 +68%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $15 +$10 +68%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $20 +$8 +40%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winner Jun 17 $20 −$20 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner Jun 17 $10 +$8 +76%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Mast Jun 17 $30 +$9 +31%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner Jun 17 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $28 −$2 -6%
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $18 +$7 +43%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $20 −$1 -6%
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? Jun 17 $5 −$4 -76%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $15 +$7 +46%
Dota 2: Flame Team vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $24 −$2 -8%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $14 −$5 -33%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $14 +$6 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs SELL G2 27¢ $0 16h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs SELL G2 40¢ $5 16h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY G2 20¢ $3 16h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs SELL G2 33¢ $5 17h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY G2 21¢ $3 17h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs SELL G2 19¢ $2 17h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY G2 26¢ $3 17h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs SELL G2 36¢ $9 17h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY G2 20¢ $5 17h
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Pla SELL 1WIN 100¢ $20 17h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs SELL G2 32¢ $0 17h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs SELL Spirit 69¢ $21 17h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs SELL G2 27¢ $6 17h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY G2 63¢ $15 17h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY Spirit 10¢ $3 17h
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Pla SELL 1WIN 48¢ $1 17h
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Pla SELL INOX Division 50¢ $6 17h
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Pla BUY INOX Division 40¢ $5 17h
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Pla SELL INOX Division 34¢ $7 17h
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Pla SELL 1WIN 54¢ $0 17h
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Pla BUY 1WIN 45¢ $10 17h
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Pla BUY INOX Division 60¢ $12 18h
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Pla SELL 1WIN 31¢ $6 18h
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Pla SELL INOX Division 73¢ $14 18h
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Pla BUY 1WIN 30¢ $6 18h
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL CYBERSHOKE Esports 89¢ $27 18h
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Pla BUY INOX Division 65¢ $3 18h
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Pla BUY INOX Division 65¢ $10 18h
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY CYBERSHOKE Esports 85¢ $26 18h
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL CYBERSHOKE Esports 93¢ $0 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 481 history records