Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa099…8eb3
crypto · 207 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$239 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$246 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$4
Realized+$246
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses102 / 103
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions2
Markets (closed)205 / 207
Avg bet$30
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 205 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$97
7 days+$279
14 days+$279
30 days+$279
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 39¢ 26¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$13 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$14 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$4 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$17 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$10 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$8 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$321
sports 8% −$77
other 1% +$13
politics 0% −$17
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 52m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 176 -7.5% -16.3% 53% 45% -4.6%
≤30d 176 -7.5% -16.3% 53% 45% -4.6%
≤90d 176 -7.5% -16.3% 53% 45% -4.6%
all 205 -6.4% -15.3% 50% 43% -5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.3% 43% -5.4%
10% -23.4% 39% -14.4%
15% -30.8% 32% -22.7%
20% -37.6% 23% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.02 · official $2.77 · 794 history records