Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:09:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0b0…0922
crypto · 965 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$16 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21 · open −$39
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$278
Realized+$21
Unrealized−$39
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses475 / 481
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions9
Markets (closed)956 / 965
History coverage20d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day77.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 9 History 956 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$49
7 days+$178
14 days+$263
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Trump out as President before 2027? No 91¢ 90¢ $120 $120 −$0 (-0%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 84¢ 52¢ $100 $61 −$39 (-39%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 81¢ 89¢ $18 $20 +$2 (+9%)
Trump out as President by June 30? No 99¢ 99¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 19¢ 19¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 21¢ 19¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$23 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$12 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$21 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$29 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -95%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$7 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$9 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$6 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$7 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$9 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$33 +945%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$10 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$7 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% +$51
politics 4% −$19
world 2% −$59
sports 1% +$5
other 0% $0
tech 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $8 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $7 4h
Trump out as President by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $56 6h
Trump out as President by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $8 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $8 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $17 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $9 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $9 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $12 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $13 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $9 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $9 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $9 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $8 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $8 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $11 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $8 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $8 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $8 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $13 30h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 73¢ $10 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 231 +4.2% -5.8% 49% 46% -2.3%
≤30d 956 -4.1% -13.3% 50% 46% -9.2%
≤90d 956 -4.1% -13.3% 50% 46% -9.2%
all 956 -4.1% -13.3% 50% 46% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover77.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 46% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 41% -17.9%
15% -29.1% 39% -25.8%
20% -36.1% 36% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $277.90 · official $277.90 (match) · 2102 history records