Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:12:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0b8…5278
other · 42 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,866 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,861 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$195
Realized−$2,861
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses23 / 17
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$43
Open positions2
Markets (closed)40 / 42
History coverage9d
Avg bet$336
Trades / day9.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit36%
Chart Positions 2 History 40 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,603
7 days−$2,859
14 days−$2,861
30 days−$2,861
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 60¢ $120 $115 −$5 (-4%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $80 $80 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Nigeria? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Ethiopia vs. Malawi end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 61¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Under 64¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $506 −$414 -82%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $506 −$500 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2,544 −$2,336 -92%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $304 −$200 -66%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1,002 +$61 +6%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1,007 +$307 +30%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $101 +$42 +42%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $31 −$9 -29%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $51 +$44 +86%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1,008 −$484 -48%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $51 −$50 -97%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1,016 −$64 -6%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $30 −$1 -5%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $503 +$121 +24%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $505 +$219 +43%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $502 +$80 +16%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1,717 +$187 +11%
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Nigeria? Jun 10 $103 −$100 -97%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $492 +$90 +18%
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Iceland? Jun 10 $51 +$127 +249%
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Iceland? Jun 10 $51 +$70 +137%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $354 +$193 +54%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $835 −$485 -58%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -88%
Will Philippines vs. Myanmar end in a draw? Jun 09 $300 +$82 +27%
Will Philippines win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $303 +$158 +52%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $1 $0 +17%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1 +$1 +109%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $2 $0 +13%
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 08 $2 $0 +9%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $3 $0 +0%
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Jun 07 $3 $0 +11%
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $2 +$1 +27%
Will Ethiopia vs. Malawi end in a draw? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Belarus vs. Syria end in a draw? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -82%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 $0 -7%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 +$1 +66%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -56%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 05 $1 $0 -8%
Will Slovenia vs. Cyprus end in a draw? Jun 04 $1 $0 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 77% −$1,514
sports 23% −$1,353
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $80 26m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $121 28m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 SELL Over 11¢ $92 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 BUY Over 58¢ $506 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 61¢ $506 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $178 4h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 81¢ $29 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $30 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $2,513 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 100¢ $270 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,063 22h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 100¢ $1,314 22h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 64¢ $202 22h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 37¢ $102 22h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 99¢ $143 22h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 69¢ $101 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 94¢ $1,002 23h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? SELL Yes 15¢ $22 23h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 20¢ $31 23h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 76¢ $1,007 27h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 61¢ $55 28h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 54¢ $40 28h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL No 39¢ $524 28h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 10¢ $51 28h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 30¢ $51 28h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $1,008 29h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 76¢ $943 29h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 19¢ $9 32h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $10 32h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $29 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +5.4% -4.7% 64% 55% -28.3%
≤30d 40 +0.9% -8.7% 58% 50% -28.3%
≤90d 40 +0.9% -8.7% 58% 50% -28.3%
all 40 +0.9% -8.7% 58% 50% -28.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.7% 50% -28.3%
10% -17.5% 35% -35.2%
15% -25.4% 25% -41.4%
20% -32.7% 18% -47.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $194.76 · official $194.76 (match) · 90 history records