Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:36:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A0
0xa0be…6605
other · 784 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$34 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$65 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$137
Realized−$65
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses296 / 433
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions55
Markets (closed)729 / 784
History coverage185d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day6.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit58%
Chart Positions 55 History 729 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$18
14 days−$46
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Over 83¢ 84¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 51¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+97%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 61¢ 55¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-10%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 Over 89¢ 88¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 70¢ 66¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-5%)
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 70¢ 69¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 41¢ 70¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+72%)
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 73¢ 72¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 68¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 64¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 73¢ 60¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-18%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 Over 74¢ 74¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 Over 71¢ 70¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Over 71¢ 70¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Over 38¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+163%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 60¢ 46¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-22%)
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 42¢ 86¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+104%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Over 65¢ 64¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 Over 60¢ 60¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Over 46¢ 44¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 12¢ 21¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+81%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 14 $1 $0 -15%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Jun 14 $3 −$1 -18%
US recession by end of 2026? Jun 14 $1 $0 -44%
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -58%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $6 $0 +0%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $2 +$2 +74%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $17 +$3 +20%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026 Jun 14 $15 $0 -1%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -89%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $17 +$2 +11%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 +$3 +289%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$6 +593%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $40 +$2 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $5 −$4 -78%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$1 +37%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -12%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -11%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$1 -29%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $48 $0 +1%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -81%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $79 +$2 +3%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $12 +$4 +34%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $9 −$4 -40%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $6 +$2 +28%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $32 +$1 +2%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +164%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $12 +$5 +42%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +33%
England leading at halftime? Jun 11 $1 +$1 +52%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +59%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +30%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -60%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $2 +$1 +62%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 10 $1 $0 +32%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +19%
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 10 $7 +$1 +18%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -89%
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $4 +$1 +28%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 10 $6 +$3 +53%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$43
sports 38% −$12
politics 4% −$12
culture 4% −$3
world 3% +$3
crypto 2% +$2
tech 1% −$2
economics 1% +$1
finance 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL Yes 20¢ $1 2m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 65¢ $2 2m
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? SELL Yes 60¢ $3 3m
US recession by end of 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $1 3m
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? SELL Yes 36¢ $0 4m
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 52¢ $1 1h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $2 1h
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $1 1h
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 74¢ $3 1h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 61¢ $1 1h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 30¢ $1 1h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1 1h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 89¢ $9 1h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 71¢ $3 1h
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $3 1h
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 60¢ $1 1h
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 60¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 53¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 95¢ $3 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 82¢ $5 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $1 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 63¢ $1 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $1 4h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 38¢ $1 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 29¢ $1 5h
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026 SELL Yes 72¢ $10 7h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 7h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 93¢ $14 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 55¢ $3 8h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 89 +6.5% -3.6% 57% 48% -6.5%
≤30d 573 -9.1% -17.7% 38% 34% -13.1%
≤90d 695 -8.1% -16.9% 40% 35% -13.3%
all 729 -8.0% -16.7% 41% 36% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.7% 36% -13.1%
10% -24.7% 29% -21.5%
15% -32.0% 24% -29.0%
20% -38.6% 19% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $137.43 · official $137.43 (match) · 1710 history records